The recent gain of Ukrainian fighters on the east bank of the Dnipro River in Kherson region has the potential to significantly impact the ongoing conflict with Russia. This gain marks the first time Ukrainian troops have held a position in the fiercely defended territory. The counteroffensive aims to sever the land corridor to the Crimean peninsula, which Russia illegally annexed in 2014.
The Ukrainian forces, specifically the 46th brigade, are engaged in heavy fighting as they strive to take full control of the village of Krynky. If successful, this settlement will serve as a strategic base for launching a larger offensive to divide Russian troops and cut off their supply lines. The Institute for the Study of War (ISW) has reported that Ukrainian forces are conducting larger than usual ground operations on the east bank, and Russian military bloggers have also documented fighting in Krynky.
The progress of Ukraine’s counteroffensive has been slow, with limited territorial gains thus far. However, capturing Krynky would be a significant achievement for the Ukrainian military. It would not, however, entail a large-scale assault akin to the “Normandy landings.” The challenges and dangers faced by the Ukrainian fighters become apparent, particularly as winter approaches.
The 46th brigade, tasked with cutting off Russian access to Crimea in the Zaporizhzhia region, has encountered heavily mined Russian fortifications and faces daily air attacks on their logistics routes without sufficient air support of their own. While they have managed to breach the first line of Russian defense near the village of Verbove and successfully targeted ammunition depots and bases, progress remains limited.
Both sides are also grappling with deteriorating conditions as the rainy weather affects the functionality of drones, reconnaissance equipment, and aviation. However, the fighters do not expect any respite in the fighting during the winter months, emphasizing that it will only intensify.
The Ukrainian military chiefs closely scrutinize the ongoing action in the hope of achieving a breakthrough. Success in severing the land corridor to Crimea would be a considerable blow to Russian forces and a significant turning point in the conflict. International observers and military experts are closely monitoring these developments, as they could potentially shape the course of the war.
It is crucial for Ukraine to maintain momentum and continue their efforts to regain control of occupied territories. The international community, especially countries supportive of Ukraine, should provide the necessary aid and support to sustain the counteroffensive. As the conflict unfolds, it is crucial to prioritize diplomatic efforts in order to find a lasting resolution and avoid further escalation of the conflict.
Winter conditions will undoubtedly pose additional challenges for both sides, affecting operations, mobility, and the well-being of soldiers. Adequate preparations and provisions for the winter season are vital to ensure the safety and effectiveness of military personnel.
Overall, the gain of Ukrainian forces on the east bank of the Dnipro River presents a significant opportunity to undermine Russian control and sever their supply lines. However, the path to victory remains treacherous, with mined fortifications, air attacks, and challenging weather conditions posing constant threats. The international community must rally behind Ukraine and offer the necessary support to sustain their counteroffensive and work towards a resolution that brings peace and stability to the region.