The West African country of Niger is currently facing a critical situation as French troops prepare to leave the country. This decision, following a military coup in July, has raised concerns about the potential impact on the ongoing fight against jihadist insurgencies in the region. With Niger being one of the deadliest countries for jihadist attacks, the withdrawal of French troops may embolden insurgents and create further instability.
One of the key issues highlighted by the local population is the perceived failure of the French army to effectively contain the violence in the region. Many Nigeriens blame France for the deteriorating security situation and question the effectiveness of their presence. This sentiment has been fueled by a longstanding perception of French interference in Niger’s internal affairs and exploitation of its natural resources. The coup is seen by some as an opportunity to reclaim sovereignty and rid the country of French influence.
Protests have erupted in response to France’s refusal to recognize the new military government and the subsequent demand for French troops to leave the country. Demonstrators have been camped outside a military base in Niamey, blocking supplies and showing their opposition. The departure of French troops has the potential to worsen the security situation in Niger and the wider Sahel region. The French military has been a key partner in providing intelligence and support to local forces in the fight against terrorism.
However, there are divergent views on the potential impact of French troops leaving Niger. Some experts believe that the Nigerien armed forces are experienced in combating terror groups, particularly against Boko Haram in the eastern front. They argue that the French military played a more supportive role in Niger rather than being the primary force combating militants. Additionally, there has been the establishment of a security alliance between Niger, Mali, and Burkina Faso to counter armed rebellions and external aggression. This increased cooperation and joint military operations could potentially put pressure on insurgents and lead to a more effective counter-terrorism strategy.
It remains to be seen whether the new military junta in Niger will continue the successful approach of the previous administration in reducing terror-related deaths. The previous government’s holistic approach combining military strategy with community engagement and socio-economic development showed promising results. However, there were some within the military who perceived this approach as being soft on terrorists and encouraging impunity.
President Bazoum’s close relationship with the French government has garnered criticism, but support for him is difficult to gauge as many individuals are reluctant to openly express their opinions due to fear of consequences. The presence of foreign troops, including those from the United States, indicates that Niger’s cooperation with Western powers may continue even after the departure of French troops.
As the Sahel region faces the growing threat of Islamist extremism, the decisions made by ruling juntas in Niger will have far-reaching consequences for regional stability. The fight against jihadist insurgents relies on effective collaboration between local forces and international partners, and the withdrawal of French troops could potentially disrupt this collaborative effort.
