The recent return of former prime minister Thaksin Shinawatra to Thailand has sealed a grand political bargain between the telecoms tycoon and his populist Pheu Thai party, and conservative groups aligned with the military and monarchy. This development comes as a new threat emerges in the form of the progressive and youthful Move Forward party, which has brought both sides together. While some may view this as a positive step towards a more stable political landscape, there are concerns about the implications and potential consequences of this arrangement. It is crucial for the Thai people to understand the impact of this grand political bargain and proceed with caution.
One of the immediate implications of this grand political bargain is the consolidation of power among various political factions. With Mr. Thaksin’s return, Pheu Thai’s candidate was voted as the country’s next prime minister, enabling a coalition government that includes parties once deemed as bitter enemies of Mr. Thaksin. This unity of opposing forces signifies a major shift in Thailand’s political landscape. However, such a consolidation also raises questions about the future direction of the government. Will it prioritize the interests of the people or perpetuate the dominance of established political elites?
Furthermore, the exclusion of the Move Forward party, which won the most seats in the election, from the government is a cause for concern. This exclusion undermines the principle of democratic representation and leaves many Thai voters feeling disillusioned. The new government’s composition, comprising mostly of parties from the previous military-backed administration, raises doubts about its commitment to meaningful reform and addressing the needs of the people.
One of the potential consequences of this grand political bargain is the potential abandonment of reform initiatives and promises made by Pheu Thai. The conservative parties, who now have a significant presence in the government, may resist efforts to amend the military-drafted constitution or implement other progressive policies. This could lead to a stagnation of much-needed reforms and hinder the country’s social and economic progress. It is crucial for the Thai people to remain vigilant and hold the government accountable for their promises.
Moreover, the grand political bargain may exacerbate divisions within Pheu Thai and lead to a loss of support among its grassroots “red shirt” supporters. Many of these supporters have been loyal to the party due to its promises of upliftment and representation. The party’s decision to align itself with former adversaries and compromise on its principles may alienate these supporters and cause a reshaping of the political landscape in future elections.
While the grand political bargain may provide short-term stability, it also raises concerns about the concentration of power and the potential for abuse. The influence of the Shinawatra family, who have historically been a significant force in Thai politics, may undermine the government’s ability to effectively serve the interests of the people. This concentration of power also limits the potential for alternative voices to be heard and stifles the democratic process.
In conclusion, the return of Thaksin Shinawatra and the grand political bargain in Thailand marks a significant development in the country’s political landscape. While it may bring short-term stability, it also raises concerns about the exclusion of the Move Forward party, the potential abandonment of reforms, and the concentration of power. The Thai people must remain vigilant and hold the government accountable for its actions. Ultimately, the impact of this grand political bargain will depend on how it is implemented and whether it truly serves the interests of the people.
