The potential consequences of a major ground offensive in Israel

The ongoing conflict between Israel and Hamas has once again escalated, with Israel shelling Rafah in response to Hamas’ refusal to give up on their demands. This comes as President Joe Biden warns against a major ground offensive, signaling a shift in the Israeli strategy. The prospect of a full-scale operation in Rafah has been a looming threat, with Hamas needing to believe in the possibility of complete annihilation to come to the negotiating table. However, with Biden taking that option off the table, the dynamics of the conflict are changing. Israeli commentators are now speculating on the implications of this decision, with some arguing that public pressure has emboldened Hamas to stick to their demands. As long as the US does not back an operation in Rafah, it seems unlikely that Israel will pursue this option, leaving it as their last resort in the negotiations. The lack of American support has made it clear to all parties involved that this potential operation may not have the desired impact. The situation remains complex and delicate, with the fate of Rafah hanging in the balance.