The upcoming rematch between Joe Biden and Donald Trump in the 2024 election is expected to have a significant impact on the race. Unlike previous elections, where the incumbent president was running for re-election against a new challenger, this contest will feature two former presidents facing off. This unique dynamic will change the nature of the race, as it becomes a comparison of the two candidates’ records and policies rather than simply a referendum on the incumbent.
One key issue that will shape the campaign is the contrast between the economic situations under the two presidents. Despite positive economic indicators such as steady growth, record-low unemployment, and a booming stock market, many Americans still hold a grim view of their economic situation. This perception could heavily influence voters’ decisions, as they tend to vote based on their wallets. Trump will argue that the economy thrived under his administration, while Biden will tout his post-Covid recovery efforts and his proposed economic policies as the reason for improved conditions.
Another crucial issue that both campaigns will focus on is the Supreme Court’s recent decision on abortion. Democrats will attempt to elevate this issue in the minds of voters, highlighting the potential for abortion restrictions or even its complete illegality in some states. Conversely, Trump and conservatives will place a strong emphasis on immigration, pointing to a surge in border crossings and arguing that the Biden administration has failed to address safety and security concerns.
Other factors that could influence the race include US crime rates, the environment and climate change, and foreign policy. The ongoing Gaza War poses a challenge for Biden, as his administration’s support for Israel has drawn criticism from some Democrats, particularly younger voters. Additionally, the advanced age of both candidates raises concerns about their health and fitness for office, with the presidential debates serving as a critical moment for scrutiny.
Furthermore, there is a potential for a third-party or independent candidate to emerge, given the dissatisfaction that a majority of Americans express towards the two major-party options. The anti-vaccine activist Robert Kennedy Jr. has already entered the race, and other groups like No Labels may field their own candidates. Trump’s legal troubles, including 91 charges and four criminal trials, could also impact the race. While his legal challenges have boosted his support among Republicans, a criminal conviction may significantly change public opinion.
Finally, the January 2021 attack on the US Capitol and its aftermath will likely play a role in the election. While Republican voters may be more willing to move past it, Democrats and independent voters may still remember the trauma of that event. The more the public is reminded of the attack and its connection to Trump, whether through Biden’s campaign messaging or courtroom proceedings, the more it may affect the former president’s chances.
In conclusion, the Biden v Trump rematch is poised to have a substantial impact on the 2024 election. The comparison between the candidates’ records, policies, and their ability to address key issues will shape the race. The economy, abortion, immigration, crime rates, the environment, foreign policy, and the candidates’ health and fitness will be crucial factors. The potential for third-party candidates and Trump’s legal troubles adds further complexity to the election. Ultimately, the outcome of this rematch will be decided by a relatively small subset of voters in key states, highlighting the significance of targeted campaign strategies in the race.
