The Future of Nagorno-Karabakh: Implications and Precautions

Nagorno-Karabakh, a self-declared republic controlled by Armenians for three decades, is facing a dire future as its leader announced its dissolution effective 1st January. This decision comes after the region was seized by Azerbaijan, resulting in the mass exodus of its majority ethnic Armenian population. The implications of this development are far-reaching, affecting not only the people of Nagorno-Karabakh but also the geopolitical landscape of the South Caucasus.

In the short term, the dissolution of Nagorno-Karabakh will lead to further displacement and potentially exacerbate the already grave humanitarian crisis in the region. With the majority of its population fleeing, the remaining residents face an uncertain future. Adequate measures must be taken to address the needs of those affected, including providing shelter, food, and medical assistance.

The dissolution of Nagorno-Karabakh also raises concerns about the protection of human rights and the potential for ethnic cleansing. International organizations and governments must closely monitor the situation and intervene if necessary to prevent further violations.

Additionally, the dissolution of Nagorno-Karabakh has significant geopolitical implications. This move further solidifies Azerbaijan’s control over the region and challenges the status quo established after the collapse of the Soviet Union. It may set a precedent for other separatist regions seeking independence, potentially destabilizing the region further.

One must also consider the impact on the Armenian community, both within Nagorno-Karabakh and globally. The loss of Nagorno-Karabakh represents a significant blow to their aspirations for self-determination. The diaspora and international Armenian organizations must rally together to support those affected and advocate for their rights.

In light of these developments, there are several precautions that must be taken. First and foremost, the protection of human rights and the prevention of further violence must be prioritized. International observers should be granted access to Nagorno-Karabakh to ensure the safety and well-being of the remaining residents. Western governments, in particular, should apply diplomatic pressure to Azerbaijan to facilitate this access.

Secondly, efforts must be made to address the immediate humanitarian needs of those affected by the dissolution of Nagorno-Karabakh. Aid organizations, both local and international, should coordinate their efforts to provide essential support, including shelter, food, and medical assistance. The international community must step up and provide the necessary resources to alleviate the suffering of the displaced population.

Additionally, diplomatic negotiations between Armenia and Azerbaijan should continue with the aim of finding a peaceful and just resolution to the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict. The rights and aspirations of the affected population must be taken into account, and international mediators should actively facilitate these negotiations.

In conclusion, the dissolution of Nagorno-Karabakh will have significant implications for the region and its people. Urgent measures must be taken to address the humanitarian crisis and protect the rights of the remaining residents. The international community should actively engage in finding a peaceful resolution to the conflict and ensure the long-term stability of the South Caucasus. Only through collective action and diplomatic efforts can we mitigate the potential consequences of this development and create a brighter future for the people of Nagorno-Karabakh.